The Dallas Cowboys (7-3 SU, 7-3 ATS) aim to prolong their winning streak to three games and secure a triumph on Thanksgiving Day for the consecutive year as they welcome the Washington Commanders (4-7, 5-5-1) as significant favorites in their home turf.
Commanders vs Cowboys Picks Insights
- Washington are 4-8 against the spread (ATS) when playing Dallas.
- The Cowboys have gone 5-0 ATS when playing at AT&T Stadium.
- The Commanders are 1-4 straight up (SU) and 1-6 SU against the NFC.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games vs Dallas.
Commanders vs Cowboys Game Summary
The Dallas Cowboys concluded as the favored team by 10 points in their home game during last year's Thanksgiving match. However, they narrowly missed covering the spread in their 28-20 victory against the New York Giants. The Giants managed to score a touchdown with only eight seconds left on the clock, which rewarded those who had placed their bets on the significant underdogs playing away from home.
Injury Report
Washington: RB A Gibson, RB A Armah (Questionable)
Dallas: RB R Dowdle (Questionable)
Washington Betting Stats
Washington suffered a disappointing defeat in their recent game against the New York Giants, losing 31-19. Despite being favored to win by 7.5 points at home, the Commanders were unable to secure a victory. To make matters worse, the Giants managed to complete a series sweep against Washington, thanks in part to three interceptions thrown by quarterback Sam Howell. The final blow came when Howell's last interception was returned for a touchdown, sealing the victory for the Giants.
Despite being sacked nine times for a total loss of 45 yards, New York rookie Tommy DeVito outperformed Washington's first-year starting quarterback, further adding to their disappointment. Howell's ability to keep Washington in the game with his arm has been demonstrated, but he has also shown that he can lose games with his arm, as he did last week against New York.
To give the Commanders a chance to cover, Howell will need to avoid sacks and make plays against a secondary that intercepted Carolina rookie Bryce Young for a touchdown to secure a 33-10 win last week. Washington has a positive record of 5-1 ATS in their last six road games, and Howell has the potential to replicate what Daniel Jones and New York did against Dallas last Thanksgiving.
Dallas Betting Predictions
Last week in Carolina, Dallas did not showcase their best offensive performance. Wide receiver CeeDee Lamb, who had previously set an NFL record with three consecutive 150-yard receiving games, saw his streak come to an end. Despite this, the defense remained dominant and limited the Panthers to just one touchdown in the second half.
Looking ahead, the Cowboys have an impressive 12-game winning streak at home and have covered the spread in their last five games there. With another strong effort from both sides of the ball, Dallas should be able to continue their winning streaks, extending them to 13 and six consecutive victories respectively. The Cowboys have proven to be the most dominant team at home this season.
With an impressive record of 4-0 both straight up and against the spread, they have consistently outperformed their opponents with a staggering average margin of victory of 27.5 points. The offensive prowess of the Dallas team has been exceptional, as they have managed to score a minimum of 28 points in their last four games, even surpassing the 40-point mark twice.
This offensive display has resulted in the over bet hitting in three out of the four games. Looking ahead, the Cowboys aim to secure their second consecutive Thanksgiving win, having previously faced three defeats. Over the past decade, their overall record on Turkey Day stands at 4-6.
Commanders vs Cowboys Picks
Dallas -13.5 (-110): Washington's hopes of making it to the playoffs were most likely dashed after their defeat to the Giants on Sunday. It is concerning that they turned the ball over six times and allowed four sacks against a Giants team that has struggled this season. In their two matchups this season, Washington has given up a total of 10 sacks to the Giants, whereas New York has only managed nine sacks in their other nine games combined.
Now, they face the challenge of blocking Micah Parsons and the Dallas defense, which has recorded an impressive 33 sacks, including 12 in the last two weeks. Throughout the season, Howell has constantly found himself running for his life, being sacked a league-high 51 times.
The Commanders lack the necessary firepower to keep up in a high-scoring game and their running game is insufficient to control the clock. As a result, we are confident that Dallas will easily secure a victory at home and cover the spread of 11 points.