Bryce Young and the Panthers have had a challenging start to the season but their defensive performance has shown signs of improvement. Although the Cowboys are clearly the stronger team in betting predictions, they must remain focused to avoid falling into the trap of underestimating their opponents.
Cowboys vs Panthers Picks Insights
- Dallas has gone 6-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 9 games.
- Cowboys have gone are 2-4 ATS in their last six games on the road.
- Carolina has gone 2-5 ATS in their last 7 and 1-8 straight up (SU).
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Panthers last 5 games at home.
The Cowboys have proven to be the most dominant team in the NFL when playing on their home turf this season. With a flawless 4-0 record at AT&T Stadium, they have showcased their superiority with an astonishing average point margin of +27.5. This remarkable performance places them at the top of the league, surpassing even the Dolphins, who managed to secure a victory by a whopping 50 points at home.
How to bet on Dallas
Nevertheless, outside of Dallas, the team's performance has been quite contrasting. The Cowboys have struggled on the road, with a record of 2-3, and their defeat against the Cardinals was particularly disappointing. If we disregard their dominant 40-0 victory over the Giants in Week 1, their offense has only managed to average 17.25 points per game in the other four away matches.
However, it's important to note that the Cowboys' offense still poses a significant challenge for the Panthers. The Panthers' defense currently ranks 26th in defensive DVOA, which is actually an improvement from their previous positions of 30th or 31st earlier in the season. In terms of offensive rankings, Dallas ranks 11th in pass offense DVOA and 21st in rush offense DVOA.
Tony Pollard has had a challenging season after high expectations, while Rico Dowdle appears to be the more dynamic running back. The Panthers' formidable secondary will have the opportunity to focus on neutralizing Ceedee Lamb and shutting down the Cowboys' passing game. It is crucial to remember that anything can happen in a single week. The Cowboys showcased their dominance in the first two weeks by defeating weaker opponents, but they faced defeat on the road against the Cardinals.
How to bet on Carolina
The Panthers defense is a good match for the Cowboys offense. The structure of the Cowboys' offense bears resemblance to that of the Texans, who were effectively shut down by Carolina. As previously mentioned, Carolina has a strong defense against the pass, which is Dallas' preferred method of attack.
Even if the Cowboys opt for a more run-heavy approach, it would result in slower, methodical drives, which works in favor of the Panthers as a significant underdog, as it limits the number of possessions. The Panthers' offense has been extremely poor this season, ranking only above the Giants.
However, they have the advantage of extra rest after playing on Thursday Night Football. There have been rumors circulating about Frank Reich's job security. With 10 days to prepare, this could be Reich's final opportunity to throw everything he has at the wall and attempt to orchestrate a strong performance.
NFL Betting Predictions Week 11
The odds for week 11 opened up with five double-digit spreads, but now there are only three left as CHI/DET and NYG/WSH have been bet down. The Cowboys are one of the remaining teams laying double digits, currently at -10.5. Despite the large number, we still think it's too low and would need upwards of 14 to 17 points to back the Panthers. Looking at the Cowboys' track record, they tend to lose to good teams and dominate bad ones.
Carolina's offense is struggling, ranking 29th in scoring and near the bottom in passing and rushing. Dallas has a strong defense, allowing less than 300 yards per game, and the Panthers have one of the worst offensive lines in the league. With all this in mind, we're confident in laying the points with the Cowboys and predicting a win with a -10.5 spread.