Week 12 betting odds favor Jacksonville by 1.5-points on the road against Houston. Football picks for the game over / under are expecting a lot of points scored with the total listed at 48.
The Houston Texans have been quite impressive in their recent matchups against the Jacksonville Jaguars. With a record of 10-1 straight up and 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games, the Texans have shown their dominance. This Sunday, they will aim to maintain their winning streak and secure first place in the AFC South as they face the Jaguars in Houston.
Jaguars vs Texans Betting Odds Insights
- Jacksonville are 1-4 against the spread (ATS) when playing Houston.
- The Texans have gone 5-14-1 straight up (SU) when playing at home.
- The Jaguars are 6-1 SU and 4-1 ATS when playing against the AFC.
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Houston's last 17 in November.
Can Trevor Lawrence and Jacksonville win on the road against Houston?
Jaguars Betting Stats
Jacksonville bounced back nicely from its blowout loss to the San Francisco 49ers with a 34-14 blowout win at home against the Tennessee Titans last Sunday as a 6.5-point favorite. Trevor Lawrence went 24-for-32 with 262 passing yards and two passing touchdowns in the win, connecting with Calvin Ridley on both as the wideout finished the day with seven catches for 103 receiving yards and two scores.
The Jaguars have been road warriors since last December with a 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS record in their last eight road games that includes a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS road record this season. Jacksonville beat the Texans 31-3 in its last trip to Houston on January 1st.
Jaguars Picks
Trevor Lawrence's record against the Texans has been less than stellar, with only one win in his five career starts against them. In those five games, he has thrown for 1,259 yards, four touchdowns, and seven interceptions. C.J. Stroud even outperformed Lawrence in their previous matchup, leading to a 37-17 upset win for the Texans.
Although the Jaguars have improved since then, the Texans are also playing well, and Stroud is still going strong. To secure a victory in this division rivalry game, the Jaguars will need Lawrence to bring his A-game.
Texans Betting Stats
The Texans picked up the win but narrowly missed covering the spread as 5.5-point home favorites in their 21-16 victory over the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday. C.J. Stroud went 27-for-37 with 336 passing yards and two passing touchdowns in the win, but he also threw a season-high three interceptions as well. Tank Dell led the receiving corps with eight catches, 149 receiving yards and a touchdown.
Through his first 10 NFL starts, Stroud has compiled 2,962 passing yards and 17 passing touchdowns with only five interceptions. The sensational rookie has thrust Houston into playoff contention with a 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS run over the Texans’ last eight games.
Texans Picks
Houston's previous six games have all been decided by a touchdown or less, with four of them being determined by a field goal or less. During this period, the Texans have achieved a 4-2 record in terms of wins and a 3-3 record against the spread, largely due to the impressive performance of C.J. Stroud. Stroud has emerged as the clear frontrunner for the rookie of the year title and has even entered discussions for the NFL MVP Award.
Despite throwing three interceptions in their recent match against the struggling Cardinals, the rookie quarterback will need to elevate his game for the upcoming week. Jacksonville has managed to score 31 points or more in three out of their last five games, and Houston's inconsistent defense may place the burden on Stroud to carry the team in this particular matchup.
Jaguars vs Texans Predictions
Jacksonville -1.5 (-110): The Jacksonville Jaguars have established themselves as one of the top teams in the NFL since October. Their impressive record shows only one loss since September, and that defeat came against the formidable San Francisco 49ers. The Jaguars have displayed their dominance on the road, boasting a flawless 5-0 record, including two games played overseas.
Notably, they have secured victories against tough opponents like the Bills and Steelers. Additionally, Jacksonville's passing offense, led by Lawrence, has been a force to be reckoned with. They have maintained a respectable average of 225 passing yards per game, while the Texans' pass defense has proven to be a glaring weakness, allowing an average of 241 passing yards per game, ranking them 25th in the NFL.
The Jaguars have showcased their superiority by winning each of their last four games by a margin of at least a touchdown.