Week 12 betting lines favor the New England by 4-points on the road against New York. Patriots vs Giants odds for the over/under are expecting a defensive back and forth with the total listed at 34.
The New York Giants (3-8 SU, 3-7-1 ATS) aim to secure back-to-back victories for the first time in more than a year as they prepare to host the New England Patriots (2-8, 2-8) on Sunday. This matchup features the two lowest-scoring teams in the NFL. The Giants ended their three-game losing streak with an impressive 31-19 upset win against Washington last weekend.
Patriots vs Giants Betting Lines Insights
- New England are 1-5 against the spread (ATS) when playing New York.
- New York has gone 1-4 straight up (SU) when playing NE at MetLife.
- The Patriots are 6-3 SU and 0-5 ATS when plaing against the NFC.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 in November.
That being said, they have narrowly lost their previous three home games against New England. On the other hand, the Patriots had a bye week and are now looking to bounce back from a three-game losing streak, both straight-up and against the spread. They have struggled offensively, averaging a mere 12.3 points per game, and have suffered defeats in their last three away games.
Patriots Betting Statistics
In their most recent game against Indianapolis in Frankfurt, the Patriots struggled once again, scoring only single-digit points for the third time in their last six outings. Their offensive struggles have been evident, as they have failed to score a touchdown in their past six quarters of play and have only managed to score one touchdown after halftime during their three-game losing streak.
Quarterback Mac Jones, who had thrown for five touchdowns in his previous three games, had a tough outing against the Colts, throwing for 170 yards without any touchdowns and getting sacked five times. Despite the disappointment for betting fans, the Patriots' lackluster offense has made the UNDER a reliable bet, with a 7-2 record in their last nine games and the total points reaching 40 or more only twice in their last eight games.
New England Game Plan
The Patriots are eager to leave behind another disappointing performance as they prepare for their upcoming game on Sunday. Despite making significant progress by reaching the end zone on their first three possessions in the second half against Indy, New England only managed to score three points. Mac Jones, who failed to capitalize on those opportunities, was benched, but his replacement, Baily Zappe, didn't fare any better.
With Jones reportedly dealing with an undisclosed injury, it remains uncertain who will be the starting quarterback on Sunday. The potential leader of the Pats offense may face additional challenges due to key injuries. Both Devante Parker, the team's top receiver, and Rhamondre Stevenson, their leading rusher, were nursing injuries before the bye week and their availability for Sunday's game should be closely monitored.
Giants Betting Statistics
After a tough loss to Dallas in Week 10 and dealing with injuries, the Giants bounced back in their recent game against the Commanders. Led by Tommy DeVito, who played like a seasoned NHL starter, and a strong defense that forced six turnovers, the Giants secured an early lead and held on for a 31-19 victory.
However, the team now faces the challenge of maintaining their momentum, which has been difficult for them in the past. In fact, they have struggled to score points in their home games this season, losing three out of four and averaging only 6.8 points per game.
New York Game Plan
Could the Giants have finally found a viable replacement for Daniel Jones at quarterback? Tommy DeVito certainly made a strong case for himself in last week's game against the Commanders, throwing for 246 yards, no interceptions, and three touchdowns. DeVito displayed a level of skill and composure typically seen in seasoned veterans, leading the Giants to two fourth-quarter scores and securing the victory.
Despite being an undrafted rookie from Illinois, DeVito has quickly built a rapport with experienced players like Saquon Barkley and Darius Slayton. Barkley had his best performance of the season, accumulating 140 total yards and scoring twice, while Slayton recorded a season-high 82 receiving yards and his first touchdown reception of the year.
Patriots vs Giants Picks
New England -4 (-110): The New England Patriots are in dire need of a victory. Their superior defense gives them an edge, and I anticipate that it will make all the difference in this matchup. This Patriots team has the potential for success, as evidenced by their recent 29-25 triumph over the Bills. On the other hand, the Giants have struggled, losing three out of their last four games and failing to pose a threat at home, where they hold a disappointing 1-3 record this season.
Moreover, the Giants have been plagued by injuries throughout the season and are now relying on their third-string quarterback, Tommy DeVito, who went undrafted. While Mac Jones may not be having a stellar season, I certainly favor his experience over DeVito's. Additionally, the Giants' defense has been a glaring weakness, allowing an average of 33 points in their last three games. I fully expect Rhamondre Stevenson to have a standout performance on the ground against the Giants' 28th-ranked rush defense.