There are unique betting opportunities for Super Bowl LVIII as sportsbooks begin to list exotic prop bets.
However the most intriguing quarterback prop matchups feature Kansas City magician Patrick Mahomes dueling rising San Francisco upstart Brock Purdy for aerial dominance hoisting the Lombardi Trophy aloft come February 12th.
Several tantalizing player performance derivatives around passing and rushing production between the elite offensive captains expect spirited wager interest judging possibilities around contrasting statistical outcomes and styled variance.
Let's analyze insightful angles to help you bet on the Super Bowl and recommend worthy plays recognizing upside potential.
Player Prop Market Primer
Sportsbooks populate seemingly infinite betting variants on the Super Bowl transcending basic outcomes expanding into highly specific statistical player achievement categories ranging reasonable towards outrageous like:
Super Bowl Props
- Player Passing/Rushing Yardage
- Touchdown Scorer Specials
- Receiving Yard Over/Unders
- First TD Method Outcomes
- Game MVP Candidates
These types of micro performance measures allow handicapping high upside lottery chances on perceived probability distortions with enhanced odds. The Mahomes vs Purdy props prove particularly alluring...
Mahomes vs Purdy Prop Bets Analysis
Mahomes returns for his third Super Bowl in his already legendary career amidst prowling the all-time great quarterback hierarchies should another Lombardi trophy push his early career insignia further towards only Brady / Montana elevated atmospheres.
Patrick Mahomes
- 2022 League MVP Race Leader
- #1 Offense Scoring Potency
- Signature Improvisation Skills
Conversely opponent Purdy shocks making his first NFL playoff start after last pick Mr. Irrelevant 2022 draft status now dueling league glory against imposing legends. Their contrasting journeys set fantastic betting psychological stage.Brock Purdy
- 7-0 Undefeated NFL Record
- 72% Completion Rate Efficiency
- Creative Playmakers Support
The strengths stand obvious. But weaknesses surface scrutinized identifying advantage angles...
Mahomes vs Purdy Prop Selections
I've pinpointed three enticing player matchup props to bet on the Super Bowl which hold projected value advantages against current odds pricing discovery.
Over 3.5 Combined Passing Touchdowns
Rationale: Both signal callers average nearly 2 passing scores per start indicating +EV wagering opportunity. Either posting normal outputs easily crosses this threshold.
Purdy +14.5 Passing Yards vs Mahomes
Rationale: Purdy actually exceeds Mahomes seasonal yardage rates indicating tight probabilities justifying the odds boost conceding margins.
Purdy +12.5 Rushing Yards vs Mahomes
Rationale: SF runs scheme deception inducing scrambling lanes while KC struggles containing QB ground gains indicating Purdy acquits well here.
Target Allocation Breakdown
The selections above identify strengths around San Francisco play designs and balanced production upside. But for those seeking additional derivatives, analyzing target distributions and red zone utilization identifies wider angles possibility:
Mahomes Key Options
🔸 Kelce
🔸 MVS
🔸 Juju
🔸 McKinnon
Purdy Key Options
🔸 Kittle
🔸 Samuel
🔸 Aiyuk
🔸 CMC
Tracking these key contributor production roles against listed yardage or touchdown lines furnishes added global oversight identifying misalignments. Deeper research fuels conviction around player matchups holding hidden value.
Final Score Prediction
Projected Outcome:
Chiefs 34, 49ers 31
Too much Mahomes magic ultimately overwhelms Purdy's brilliant rise towards stardom signaling changing guard long term. But not before valiant San Francisco efforts unleashed a full tactical toolkit, beating the favored Chiefs far closer than pregame perceptions foreseen.
There it is... all the info you need to make an informed decision for Mahomes vs Purdy props and predictions for when you bet on the Super Bowl.